Resolves YES if the Asian Physical Tungsten (APT) price reported by industry sources or market data providers exceeds $520 per metric ton unit (mtu) on April 1, 2026. The price should reflect spot or near-spot market levels for raw tungsten concentrate or APT on that date. This threshold is set slightly above the current flat price range of $450-500/mtu observed in January 2026, reflecting expected upward pressure from China Jinba Bowen's export suspension, which impacts about 2.4% of global tungsten supply and tightens the market. Prices below or equal to $520/mtu resolve NO. Data sources include industry price reporting agencies, trade publications, and market exchanges specializing in tungsten pricing.
The suspension of exports by a major producer like China Jinba Bowen is likely to tighten supply and increase prices globally.
Source: Article
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ46 | |
| 2 | Ṁ35 |
@mods Resolve please. creator created several markets and does not seem to have returned. pinged 9 days ago
https://businessanalytiq.com/procurementanalytics/index/tungsten-price-index/
There are several of these markets
Other tungsten ones
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-apt-tungsten-price-exceed-CA9I25ICZ9
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-apt-tungsten-price-exceed-CZyn6Lyzsc
Stainless steel
As of mid-April 2024, Chinese domestic stainless steel prices (CRC) rose to approximately 13,700–13,900 yuan per tonne
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-stainless-steel-prices-exceed-6lhItpUzc8
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-stainless-steel-prices-exceed-C6OtAOAs8s
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-stainless-steel-prices-exceed
Nickel
https://www.lme.com/metals/non-ferrous/lme-nickel#Price+graphs
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-95
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-25
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-85
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-90