Will there be a US government shitdown before the end of 2025?
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resolved Oct 7
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YES

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@Joshua Cut the shit. I am awaiting a story of the shitty situations to be coming out about the shutdown. Unresolved immediately for my traders and followers, I know what I am doing here it is not the first rodeo for me here. This is the 🤡 behavior from you.

Here on Manifold the market creator is king of his market. No one

not even the mighty Joshua

is entitled to contravene this principle.

the feds are rolling in along with trump!

what a shitshow

why not just na it lol

@Joshua Cut the shit. I am awaiting a story of the shitty situations to be coming out about the shutdown. Unresolved immediately for my traders and followers, I know what I am doing here it is not the first rodeo for me here. This is the 🤡 behavior from you.

I am furious feeling!!! Apologies for all traders here, this is the intervention from a mod @Joshua like the Trump sending national guard army men to the Portland. I have a sick feeling to my stomach. Logging off for a night, not happy about it and must hang in there emotionally for this all. 😢

@CryptoNeoLiberalist STOP THE STEAL!

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I thought trump sending the national guard to Portland would be a good thing, look at DC

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I will unresolve this market for you but only if you agree to three conditions:

  • The title needs some symbol, note, whatever, to show that this is not a "shutdown" market more clearly.

  • There must be a market description with at least some kind of warning to traders that they are trading at their own risk and (hopefully) some inkling of what the criteria are.

  • The market's tags/groups should include the 'Fun' tag or a similar tag that is used for nonsense markets.

they are coming across the aisle! do not miss the opportunity!

For broader visibility: I was part of this discussion on discord, and support Eliza's approach here. I would support it for future similar markets, especially if they did this from creation. I think someone like this is the best balance I can see between "let people have fun" and "attempt to protect naive users".

@EvanDaniel I agree, but we all disagree with Joshua's premature misresolution without having read the comments where Giga made himself clear. Giga should probably have allowed the AI summaries to add his clarifications this time

Don't be a shit

@Joshua gigacuking is active, why resolve this

@Joshua Gigacuking is active and by his jokes showed he didn't intend any misspelling interpretation that would prematurely resolve this YES.

@Joshua @bens I remember you were on the NO side. Does anyone else? It doesn't show you switching sides on the trades view. What corruption is this, to bail out one partner and have two other mods abet it? Please explain if I'm wrong.

@Joshua @mods If I am correct, the right thing to do now is either to N/A the market or to let @CryptoNeoLiberalist resolve it his own way.

@Joshua Also he laid out the criteria here:

"I am awaiting for the shitty story of the shutdown being the shitdown. A problem created by it first world or other. It is another level of the shutdown being the shitdown for the America's people and citizens." - Gigacuking

@ItsMe I was high frequency trading this, and I intend to keep doing it until we meet the criteria.

@Chumchulum that's the profit tab, not the yes side.

@ItsMe Ah lmao. It should still un-misresolve. I still find it likely that renegades among the mods bailed out The Official.

@Chumchulum I'm not bailing out anyone, this is just obviously dumb and should resolve in favor of anyone who misread the title and tried to bet on real world events

@Joshua if manifold had mod intervention on all "dumb markets" half of manifold would be wildly different

@Joshua What about the people who bet after the creator outlined the criteria, as posted above?

@Joshua Unresolved it immediately!!! What is the nonsense here you are spewing???

@Joshua I don't think many people were being mislead here.

@Joshua Why would you ever want to protect traders who can't read? That just leads to inefficient markets.

@Chumchulum huh? What am I being accused of?

@Joshua autocorrecting from “Don’t” to “Domer” is some crazy work lol

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