
Will @Austin and @JamesGrugett officially announce they're having a fight by January 2024?
Will @Austin and @JamesGrugett officially announce they're having a fight by January 2024?
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410Ṁ32kresolved Jan 1
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Will @Austin and @JamesGrugett officially announce they're having a fight by January 2024?
None of them recently said they wanted to do a cage fight, but maybe they should? There is some disagreeing with the "Leagues Ownership" feature it could be okay to take it to the mat and spar it out? Let's go!
Not sure if it'll be at Colosseum but maybe Rose Garden Inn?
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Buying YES purely because of wishful thinking.
If they were serious about the Twitch bot, they would do this. I'm not holding my breath.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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