Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
6
25
Ṁ197Ṁ160
2030
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two decabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle, before 2030?
Decabillionaires are people whose networth is above 10 billion dollars. Their networth will be considered at the time of the fight.
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
/Bayesian/will-two-decabillionaires-have-a-pu (This one)
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
45% chance
Will the world see a trillionaire before the year 2035?
60% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
20% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
21% chance
Will a member of US congress physically attack another member of congress before 2026?
50% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
33% chance
Will there be a high-profile power struggle at Anthropic before 2026?
22% chance
Will there be a fight between Musk and Zuckerberg in which grappling is legal before 2025?
20% chance
Will the Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight happen before 2027?
15% chance