Will the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) become extinct by 2100?
3
100Ṁ402100
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the extinction risk of the wild population:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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