Will the Yangtze Sturgeon (Sinosturio dabryanus) become Extinct by 2100?
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Yangtze Sturgeon, a species of fish native to China that is classified as Extinct in the Wild on the IUCN Red List (last assessment in 2019). Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Yangtze Sturgeon persists.
For more information about the species, see:
Note: The scientific name of the species has been changed from Acipenser dabryanus to Sinosturio dabryanus in 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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