Will the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become extinct in the current century?

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2099

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The Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle is a species of turtle native to southern China and northern Vietnam. The last known female died in April 2023, leaving only two known males.

This market will resolve YES if the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yangtze_giant_softshell_turtle

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically endangered

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/39621/2931537

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk, excluding captive individuals:

Market context

Extinction Risk

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https://news.mongabay.com/2025/02/can-a-new-dna-test-un-extinct-the-worlds-rarest-turtle/

https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202505/29/WS6837b5a4a310a04af22c2231.html

https://news.mongabay.com/2023/05/death-of-last-female-yangtze-softshell-turtle-signals-end-for-god-turtle/

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