Will the wild population of the Chinese Allligator (Alligator sinensis) become Extinct by 2100?
5
500Ṁ1902099
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Chinese Alligator, a species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2017). It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Chinese Alligator persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about full extinction risk, including captive individuals:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Chinese Alligator (Alligator sinensis) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance
Will the American Alligator (Alligator mississippiensis) become extinct in the current century?
3% chance
Will the wild population of the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
38% chance
Will the wild population of the Baiji (Lipotes vexillifer) become extinct by 2100?
99% chance
Will the wild population of the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct by 2100?
4% chance
Will the wild population of the Axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum) become extinct by 2100?
74% chance
Will the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct by 2100?
73% chance
Will the Chinese Pangolin (Manis pentadactyla) become extinct in the current century?
74% chance
Will the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
36% chance
Will the wild population of the Southern Honduran Spiny-tailed Iguana (Ctenosaura praeocularis) become extinct by2100?
55% chance