Will the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt (Tylototriton gaowangjienensis) become Extinct by 2100?
2
500Ṁ612099
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt, a newly discovered species that is Not Evaluated on the IUCN Red List. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt persists.
For more information about the species, see:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!