Will the Azure-thighed Tree Frog (Litoria azuroscelis) become extinct by 2100?
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39%
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Azure-thighed Tree Frog, a newly discovered species that is Not Evaluated on the IUCN Red List. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Azure-thighed Tree Frog persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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