Will the Republican 2024 Senate margin in Florida be higher than in Texas?
Plus
15
Ṁ823Nov 8
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The margin is the Republican vote percentage minus the Democratic vote percentage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Here's one that almost the same thing for the presidency: /JosephNoonan/will-texas-be-closer-than-florida-i. Interesting how different the probabilities of these two are, presumably because candidate quality is an issue in the Senate one but not the presidential one.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Republicans control the US Senate after the 2024 election?
81% chance
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?
80% chance
What will be the margin of victory be in Florida in the 2024 Presidential election?
Will Florida flip blue in 2024?
10% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
17% chance
Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election?
59% chance
What will be the margin of victory in Florida's 2024 Senate election?
Which state Senate seat will be won by a Republican candidate in the 2024 election?
Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election?
61% chance
Will a Republican win Florida by more than 5% in the 2024 POTUS election?
75% chance