Will the Republican 2024 Senate margin in Florida be higher than in Texas?
10
39
Ṁ173Ṁ210
Nov 8
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The margin is the Republican vote percentage minus the Democratic vote percentage.
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Here's one that almost the same thing for the presidency: /JosephNoonan/will-texas-be-closer-than-florida-i. Interesting how different the probabilities of these two are, presumably because candidate quality is an issue in the Senate one but not the presidential one.
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