Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election?
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69
แน€7182
Dec 1
59%
chance

The presidential general election, to be specific. Resolves based on the % margin between the first and second place candidates.

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predicts NO

If DeSantis is the nominee, I give this 80% chance, if Trump is the nominee, more like 20%.

@ShadowyZephyr Now seems like a good time to bet NO on this, if you still think that...

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