Will Mike Johnson serve as Speaker of the House until the end of the term?
34
274
1k
2025
79%
chance

Will Mike Johnson, the successor of Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House, remain in the position continuously until January 3, 2025?

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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bought Ṁ5 of NO

Clarification that I didn't expect I'd have to issue: If no other Speaker is elected this Congress, then this market resolves N/A

I’m confused about what this sentence means. It sounds like if Mike Johnson serves until the end of his term then the market resolves N/A 😭

predicts NO

@DylanSlagh Lol. I made this market about “the next Speaker” and said I’d edit them into the title/description. Johnson was elected, I edited him in, but forgot to delete that bit. It’s fixed