Will the U.S. government experience a shutdown while the current speaker of the house (Mike Johnson) is in the position? | Manifold

Will the U.S. government experience a shutdown while the current speaker of the house (Mike Johnson) is in the position?

75

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2027

40%

chance

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1M

ALL

What will happen first: shutdown or new speaker (including empty position)?

Resolves YES if any length of government shutdown occurs while Mike Johnson is speaker of the house.

Resolves NO if Mike Johnson no longer holds the position for any reason.

Speaker of the House election

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extended trading given the incumbent victory for the 119th congress speaker

Can this either be resolved or N/Aed?

bought Ṁ50 YES

Congress must act before September 30. https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4868263-government-funding-shutdown-congress/amp/

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