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MANIFOLD
Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
5
แน€1kแน€748
Dec 31
74%
chance

I'm referring to SB 315, also known as the Artificial Intelligence Safety Measures Act. It's the strongest AI safety bill in the country, stronger than California's SB 53 (TFAIA) which has a Wikipedia page and stronger than New York's RAISE Act which has a Wikipedia page. It's been covered in mainstream outlets like The Hill and WIRED.

I think it's pretty important, but there's a chance its importance will decline later this year if it gets federally preempted or another stronger state legislation emerges. I guess it wasn't as controversial as the CA or NY bills. But I wanted to know more of the story behind it, so I was hoping it would have a Wikipedia page!

My previous markets about whether important AI topics will get Wikipedia pages:

To resolve YES, the Wikipedia page must exist for at least 95% of the month of December. (I want this market to be robust to Wikipedia vandalism.)

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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