Will I meet Caroline Ellison in 2026?
4
100Ṁ662026
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
She’s being released from prison. And we have a shared history in linguistics competitions…
I’ve played Magic: The Gathering against Gabe Bankman-Fried.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@realDonaldTrump I think it would be interesting to meet her, so I would be more likely to attend an event that she was also attending, but I don’t plan to try that hard
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?
1% chance
Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028?
13% chance
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
41% chance
Will @Celene be alive in 2035?
93% chance
Will I find someone I like more than Aella liked her ex before 2031?
49% chance
Will I (Aella) find someone to seriously date by the end of 2029?
81% chance