MANIFOLD
Caroline Ellison next job
19
Ṁ1.5kṀ4.2k
Dec 31
28%
No publicly known employment by EOY 2026
18%
A frontier AI lab (according to @Bayesian if ambiguous)
15%
An organization that is mostly funded by charitable donations
14%
volunteering / unpaid-only role
13%
Big Tech
5%
Starts a non-profit company
5%
Starts a for-profit company
5%
Academia
3%
Prison guard
3%
Manifold employee
1%
Announces she is going to be a professional fraudster/scammer
Resolved
N/A
Fraudster
Resolved
N/A
Resolves 50% if Ellison marries SBF in 2026, otherwise, resolves to coinflip

Where will Caroline Ellison work next? As of January 23, 2026, no publicly available information is available.

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@realDonaldTrump must be about her next job

@Bayesian what if she publicly declares she's a professional fraudster?

@realDonaldTrump an option saying she announces she’s a professional fraudster would be fine

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