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MANIFOLD
Caroline Ellison next job
26
Ṁ1.5kṀ4.6k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES
An organization that is mostly funded by charitable donations
Resolved
N/A
Fraudster
Resolved
N/A
Resolves 50% if Ellison marries SBF in 2026, otherwise, resolves to coinflip
Resolved
NO
A frontier AI lab (according to @Bayesian if ambiguous)
Resolved
NO
No publicly known employment by EOY 2026
Resolved
NO
Academia
Resolved
NO
Big Tech
Resolved
NO
volunteering / unpaid-only role
Resolved
NO
Starts a for-profit company
Resolved
NO
Starts a non-profit company
Resolved
NO
Prison guard
Resolved
NO
Manifold employee
Resolved
NO
Announces she is going to be a professional fraudster/scammer

Where will Caroline Ellison work next? As of January 23, 2026, no publicly available information is available.

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@realTomBayes there is a case for yes here… after all it is legally called “manifold for charity”

@realTomBayes i wont count it

@Bayesian of course you won’t

@realTomBayes 😂

What is she doing now?

@jcb works at manifund

@realDonaldTrump must be about her next job

@Bayesian what if she publicly declares she's a professional fraudster?

@realDonaldTrump an option saying she announces she’s a professional fraudster would be fine

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