When will the USA have a non-male president?
8
62
390
2501
2032
expected

Resolves to the first year that a woman or other non-male person is President of the USA.

This question is about gender, not about biological sex. The president must openly have a non-male gender.

Edge cases:

  • The vice president temporarily serving as acting president while the president is unconscious does not count.

  • If 2 rival claimants coexist during a chaotic interval, & 1 is nonmale, i will focus on the one that has the best legal claim to currently being the president. If that is very hard to discern, i will consider them both presidents & resolve the question.

    • (If both are nonmale, i will also resolve the question.)

  • If president holds office as a man in the eyes of the public, then leaves office & years later comes out as transgender with a statement like 'I never identified as a man', this question will not resolve.

  • Situations where the statement 'The USA has a president' is false will not cause this question to resolve. For example, some sort of leaderless interval.

  • If the name of the USA changes for some reason, this question will refer to the organization with the new name.

  • If the president says they are not male, but many people disagree, this question will agree with the president UNLESS (1) They have only made vague, unclear, or limited-context statements about their gender or (2) They regularly contradict themself about their gender.

  • If the president is a man and/or is of a male gender, most caveats & additional traits will be ignored by this question. For example, categories like 'he/they' or 'nonbinary man' will not resolve this question.

  • If the president says they are usually male, except under unusual circumstances, this will not cause the question to resolve.

  • If the president is both male & female (eg, in a genderfluid sense), then this question will resolve IF they are 'less than 50%' male (eg, by proportion of time).

  • I will evaluate more complex gender identities improvisationally.

Get Ṁ200 play money