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Insane to resolve this already. Close it, fine, but it's FAR too soon to declare this NO. Charging cops takes FOREVER. This needs to be un-resolved, immediately

@ChurlishGambit The description and end date have always been for 30 days.

@Marnix 30 days to bet, sure. But resolving it this soon is ridiculous, that's like asking if we'll be on Mars in the next day. It's not a useful prediction of any kind. This is just a propaganda market

@ChurlishGambit you should have made these comments weeks ago when people were arguing about the closing date. It’s been traded on with a short close date in mind.

Though I do agree the title is in conflict with a 30 day resolution

@ChurlishGambit You do not seem to understand how this works. Even if I did resolve in one year, this question would still resolve no, because the length is an integral part of the question. I have been very clear about the length of this market from the beginning.

@CommanderKeen Useless for prediction, & that kind of impossible time window should be in the title

@ChurlishGambit agreed, it wasn't a well-designed market, but it is what it is. The best response to finding a poorly-designed market is to promote a better-designed alternative (making your own if necessary).

@ChurlishGambit I bet over 17k M on my correct understanding about the market being about a 30 day period, as is stated clearly in the description.

If the market was un-resolved because you didn't read the description, how is that fair to me, or anyone else who read the description or end-date?

@CommanderKeen : I'm not questioning the resolution, but to be fair 30 days wasn't part of what I would call the question, the title, and should have been. It is central to the resolution but was pretty buried

I'm bothering to split this out because your comment comes immediately after someone mentioning the title having some issues but doesn't acknowledge it (so removes some faith you'll try to avoid misleading titles in future which may have been the point to bias some betting)

@BodeyBaker It was never my intention to mislead anyone. There is a dedicated field for the length of the market which I set on day one. I also clearly wrote the length in the description on day one. To imply bad intentions because I didn't also include the length a third time in the title is frankly a bit rude.

That being said, I now realise that many people do not read the description or look at the end date and prefer the end date to be in the title. I will keep this in mind in the future

@CommanderKeen The end date can also be extended. You should never assume that how it's currently set will affect how the market will resolve.

@SimonWestlake Yeah, no. The length is an integral part of such a question and should not be changed, except for grave and unforeseen circumstances. What you are saying makes me want to never bet on your markets!

@CommanderKeen it depends on the market to be honest, for some you’re right, for some they’re right jmo

@DavidHiggs Yes, of course - that is why I added the qualifier "such a". For this type of market it is not debatable.

@CommanderKeen My point is that anytime the length is critical, it needs to be in the title (I make sure to do this for most of my markets). I would never extend an important close date myself unless the description spelled out that I would extend if necessary, but I don't it's reasonable to assume that won't happen when the market title implies nothing about a specific time frame.

@SimonWestlake Exactly, if the title and description are silent on closing date, you assume the market closing date is ambiguous between a hard limit and a placeholder. As a market creator, you should assume bettors will assume such.

As for whether description (+ market closing date) is sufficient without the title mentioning a closing date, I think it depends on the question. If it’s something like “will open ended thing X happen” then you should put your arbitrary deadline in the title (e.g. will the government declare aliens are real).

This market is kind of like that example, in that charges could happen or not yet happen, over a wide range of time. There’s no “customary time” to elapse before pressing charges, opening an investigation, resolving an investigation, etc. The closest thing is the statute of limitations which is multiple years. Similar for firing/strongly disciplining an employee or other “meaningful consequences.”

I pray that those who govern the United States will use their authority to encourage peace, social harmony, the defence of life, and human dignity.

Keep praying, but that ain't happening

@RichSchumacher pray one way, bet another

Some discouraging news on this:

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/02/16/politics/alex-pretti-fbi-evidence-state-investigators

"Despite initial statements in the wake of meeting with White House border czar Tom Homan, Minnesota’s Bureau of Criminal Apprehension said in a statement Monday the FBI informed it last week that it would not share information."

This is not enough time to resolve NO. Gemini estimates the 90th percentile of police misconduct charges take 12 months to be filed.

https://g.co/gemini/share/9fd56e624d8c

@GG that's what I'm betting on

@GG well, okay, that's a chatbot. The description has listed a month's time since market opening

@TiredCliche I'll bet you 100 mana to your 1000 mana that charges will be filed after February 23, 2026, but before January 24, 2027.

@GG about the length of this market: I will not change the closing time. It would change the odds and thus be unfair to all bettors.

@GG I'm open to such a market

@TiredCliche I'm too lazy to make a full market but I'll tip you 100 mana if you promise to tip me 1100 mana (1000 plus the original 100 returned) iff Jesus Ochoa is not charged before 2/24/2026 but is charged before 1/24/2027.