Will @MarcusAbramovitch place 1st in Masters League S4 Dauntless Charmers?
53
1.8K
990
resolved Oct 5
Resolved
YES

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

Resolving to YES as per results of a poll of Trustworthy-ish users (4-1)

Sorry for not clarifying the description earlier.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@CodeandSolder your move

bought Ṁ1 of NO

oh no i forgot about my meme limit order

predicted NO

@zzlk well as the #2 no holder now it is my duty to complain about admin abuse

predicted NO

I also bet on this with the assumption that it won't be extended anymore, especially since the close was a month after leagues close. I'm also surprised that @CodeandSolder

didn't issue any clarification on the possibility of extending. I also want to add that I read the comment from him stating that he will be updating the description, and he didn't, so I thought that this is the final extension.

It seems to me that a large amount of traders traded on the assumptions that it will be resolved by the close date, but I'm not sure what the best resolution here would be.

predicted NO

@Shump I forgot I didn't update the description, my bad, the comment did state the intention is to wait until admins make a decision, I should have put that in the description

predicted NO

@CodeandSolder Can you please explain why this was not resolved at the time of the event in question (at the original resolution date)?

When betting on this question, there was no reason to believe that it would stay open and unresolved indefinitely.

If there is any relevant information justifying a probable (or even possible) YES resolution in spite of the clear evidence to the contrary, please share it with us here.

predicted NO

@HelenD like I clarified nearly a month ago the goal was to wait until admin decision, my bad for not also clarifying in the description

predicted NO

@CodeandSolder Do you have any indication that a new admin decision is going to happen? As far as we can all tell, there was a decision on this matter a month ago (i.e. Marcus did not place first.) Do you have any information that indicates that this decision will likely be reversed? If so, please share it here.

predicted NO

@HelenD I think the market price is a pretty clear indication, but also yes, I do.

predicted YES

@HelenD

I posted your comment in the trustworthy-ish member discord channel and then this poll:

predicted NO

@CodeandSolder Please elaborate. What makes you think there is a possibility of reversal?

predicted NO

@HelenD the messages shared by Joshua in a comment above, messages preceding them and public communication by Trustworthy-ish users prior to me getting access to the private channel. Also the price of this market.

predicted NO

@CodeandSolder I don't see what you are referring to. Can you cleary explain yourself here?

predicted NO

@HelenD an announcement is currently being drafted, should be out around tomorrow

predicted NO

If mods decide not to retroactively change the rankings please message me first so I can get some insider info mana thanks 👍

predicted NO

Note to self: if some market resolves against my favor, or favor of my friends, extend its trading period indefinitely until it does well for me.

predicted YES

@a2bb "it's not even about the rating, I generally refund people if they lose because of reasonably my mistake to reduce the risk of trading in my markets" - CodeandSolder

predicted YES

@ChameLeon Didn't pay close attention to this market, so I don't have much of an idea about these trading period changes

predicted NO

@a2bb what do you mean, I have a NO position

predicted YES

@CodeandSolder they are afraid you are doing a favor to some inner circle

predicted NO

@ChameLeon I'm really annoyed at how lightly people make accusations of bad faith here, at the time I extended the time the total on YES was like M1000 and I offered to refund anybody impacted, clarifying the plan is to wait until judgement is passed

predicted YES

@CodeandSolder understandable. It's annoying, when actions of a small group affect the whole community. A few bad examples doing "insider trading" affecting people who are not involved in market manipulations.

bought Ṁ30 of NO

it's wild y'all think that page is getting changed even if PC gets fined. I'm not convinced the team has the tools to easily edit that history.

predicted YES

@Stralor Ill claim insider info

predicted NO

@MarcusAbramovitch :) sounds good!