MANIFOLD
Will something CRAZY happen due to the Anthropic/DoD situation?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ40
Mar 29
34%
chance

The United States DoD currently is pressing Anthropic to allow the military to use their chatbot to commit war crimes, with no restrictions. Dario Amodei is reluctant, wanting to only allow certain tools for certain war crimes.

Unlike other "SOMETHING CRAZY???" markets, this does NOT resolve based upon Google search trends. Search is in major decline, & not a reliable source of perception of stories nor events.

"CRAZY" here means unexpected or extreme. If, for example, Hegseth drunkenly ordered Amodei kidnapped to a torture site, that would be "CRAZY." Or if the chatbot were pirated by the DoD, or they broke up the company, or seized assets, &c.

Events like the DoD simply choosing another slop vendor, or the two sides coming to an agreement, would not count.

Allotting 30 days. Will only resolve early in case of a clear YES.

No AI summaries nor clarifications will be permitted. Slop will not be considered a reliable source for resolution. Slop comments will be hidden.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

The President ordering his gov't not to use Anthropic, is not "CRAZY." That's just switching to another slop vendor. This remains open.

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