What will be the next major event for Anthropic?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ4.3k

2030

ALL

94%

IPO

0.9%

Purchase by another company

0.7%

Bankruptcy

None of these by 2030

IPO, Exit or Bankruptcy, which will be the next major event for Anthropic?

In the context of the question, raising VC round does not count as a major event.

For all of the questions in the series: https://manifold.markets/news/startups-next-major-event

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Does "by 2030" mean "by the start of 2030" or "by the end of 2030"?

In other words, what if none of the events has happened by Jan 1, 2030, but e.g. an IPO happens later in 2030 — which way does this resolve?

@rogs By the end of 2030, in other words before 1.1.2031 00:00

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