Will Elon Musk become twice as wealthy as both Jeff Bezos and 4th place in Forbes real time billionaires List before2029
Basic
10
Ṁ2162028
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The list is currently at
https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/
The location could move or need to be replaced. If replacement is needed then the most respected freely available such replacement that can be found might be the sensible choice but depending on circumstances (e.g. how much cost involved and how much more respected) a more respected but less freely available source might be chosen instead.
For clarity claim does not require twice as wealthy as 4th and Jeff Bezos combined, just twice the weath of whichever of Jeff Bezos ant 4th place has most wealth.
Historical note
At time of creating claim 19 June 2023. Jeff Bezos was 4th with $148.2bn and Elon Musk 1st with $236.9bn
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
predicts YES
Related questions
Related questions
Elon Musk will be worth less than $200B on December 31, 2024
10% chance
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
54% chance
Will Elon Musk be the first trillionare ?
33% chance
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
30% chance
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2024?
89% chance
Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030
40% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
49% chance
Will Mrbeast be a billionaire by 2025
40% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth exceed $500 billion by 2030?
38% chance