Given Russia-Ukraine War does not end in 2025, will Trump withhold significant support from Ukraine
9
100Ṁ395
2026
89%
chance

Only resolves if

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025? | Manifold

is NO

the Biden administration has been supportive or Ukraine

Biden lifts ban on Ukraine using US arms to strike inside Russia

will the Trump administration significantly reduce support for Ukraine (generally actions considered pro-Russia or anti-Ukraine) given there is no peace in 2025?

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Ukraine-Russia war
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I'm pretty sure the Trump administration has been pretty pro-Russia in the first 2 months.

I think this should be near 100% with a high likelihood of resolving to N/A if the war ends.

The resolution criteria can be somewhat ambiguous but can be verified by seeing how some reliably pro-Ukraine or anti-Ukraine figures react to the event.

Pro Ukraine = Most Democrats, Some Republicans, Zelenskyy, mainstream media, NATO, etc.
Anti Ukraine = Some Republicans, Putin, Tucker Carlson, Tulsi Gabbard, "independent" media (Tim Pool, Dave Rubin, etc.)

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