
Donald Trump life expectancy (in binary)
4
160Ṁ2982198
1%
128
99%
64
7%
32
83%
16
46%
8
50%
4
50%
2
47%
1
50%
0.5 (1/2)
50%
0.25 (1/4)
50%
0.125 (1/8)
50%
0.0625 (1/16)
50%
0.03125 (1/32)
50%
0.015625 (1/64)
50%
0.0078125 (1/128)
50%
0.00390625 (1/256)
For the sake of this question, Trump was born on June 14th, 1946 at 10:54 AM ET
A year is defined as 365.25 days.
The market for k = 2^n resolves as
Floor ([Trump's lifespan (in years)] (mod 2k) ÷ k)
Example calculation:
Suppose Trump lives until 3/5/2035.

That would be
88.723 years which in binary is
64 + 16 + 8 + 0.5 + 0.125 + 0.0625 + 0.03125 (1011000.10111001 in binary)
so the markets would resolve
128 - NO
64 - YES
32 - NO
16 - YES
8 - YES
4 - NO
2 - NO
1 - NO
0.5 - YES
0.25 - NO
0.125 - YES
0.0625 - YES
0.03125 - YES
0.015625 - NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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