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MANIFOLD
On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive?
5
Ṁ125Ṁ263
Jan 9
95%
2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027)
92%
2027-03-01 (1-Mar-2027)
89%
2027-04-22 (22-Apr-2027)
86%
2027-06-14 (14-Jun-2027)
83%
2027-07-29 (29-Jul-2027)

This description was partly generated by AI.

Resolution criteria

Each date option represents a specific calendar day in Eastern Time (ET). This is an independent multiple-choice market.

  • YES: Donald Trump is alive for any portion of the specified calendar date, measured in Eastern Time (ET).

  • NO: Donald Trump passed away before the start of the specified calendar date (00:00 ET), or has already been officially declared deceased prior to that date.

Resolution Sources: Resolutions will be based on official announcements or reporting from reputable national and international news organizations, including:

Timing: Each date option will resolve 48 to (however long it takes me) hours after its respective date to ensure that all breaking news reports and potential delays in official announcements are accounted for. In the event of a disputed or unclear official time of death, the market will resolve according to the consensus of the primary reputable news sources.

This description was partly generated by AI.

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@MollTheCoder Technically, every market is a bounty for any of the possible outcomes, but any person motivated to commit murder for internet points is a much bigger problem than the market itself. Also, why comment this only on this market and none of the dozens of other death markets?