Resolves as YES as soon as Vučić flees from Serbia. It resolves as NO, if Vučić stays in Serbia until July 2025.
This market is based on Vučić claiming that "he's not going to flee like Assad", which at the very least sounds like he's thinking about it, see:
https://apnews.com/article/serbia-vucic-assad-syria-protests-46961d86cc2dfb8b47a20faeae96c90d
I will not bet in this market.
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Serbia’s Prime Minister, Vučević, has recently resigned amid daily anti-government protests. I've created a new market for the possibility that Vučić simply resign just like his prime minister instead of fleeing: https://manifold.markets/ChaosIsALadder/will-serbias-president-vucic-stay-i
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/serbias-pm-resign-popular-protests-persist-tanjug-news-agency-2025-01-28
