MANIFOLD
Will Putin flee Russia before the end of 2030?
14
Ṁ1kṀ932
2030
16%
chance

Resolves YES if Putin leaves Russia, under circumstances that can reasonably be considered 'fleeing' (not a normal diplomatic visit, ongoing power struggle, alternate leader in place in Moscow etc)

Otherwise resolves NO

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What if 2 Putins flee, but the rest will remain in Russia?

As example the Alaska Trump-Putin visit was a "speaking" Putin's impersonator

https://manifold.markets/Areal/will-no-foreign-leader-claim-by-31?r=QXJlYWw

@Areal please stop spamming markets with these links

in 2030 Putin will be 78. Sudden death seems more likley

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