Will the IDF invade Rafah even if a hostage deal is reached beforehand?
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resolved Oct 2
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YES
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This one was a little difficult to ascertain in light of the political sensitivity regarding the Biden admin’s red line, which appeared to influence how the Rafah operations were reported, but I will resolve this YES given that IDF ground forces entered and occupied multiple populated areas within the city.

opened a Ṁ1 YES at 82% order

@ChadCotty this happened back in May

Definition of "invade"?

Does it count if the deal delays the invasion, as long as it happens before October?

@Sodann I will extend the deadline as necessary as long as the war in Gaza is still ongoing, and a delayed invasion due to a deal will still count.

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