Will Israel control Rafah by the end of September?
5
24
Ṁ130Ṁ200
Oct 1
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if there is a media consensus that Israel controls the vast majority of Rafah by the end of September.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Israel control Rafah by the end of May?
27% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?
63% chance
When will Israel begin a ground incursion in Rafah?
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
59% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?
36% chance
Will the Palestinian Authority take over Gaza deposing Hamas by the end of September 2024 ?
29% chance
Will Israel control Rafah by the end of July?
68% chance
Will the IDF invade Rafah even if a hostage deal is reached beforehand?
53% chance
Will Hamas control >50% of Gaza at the end of 2024?
26% chance