If Biden wins, will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO country within one year?
Plus
12
Ṁ1291resolved Sep 4
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Armed attack according to Article 5 of the NATO treaty.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO country within one year?
7% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
17% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
14% chance
Conditional on a MAGA Republican being elected US President, will NATO be attacked by Russian-allied forces in 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
14% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
7% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
6% chance
Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?
Will any NATO country engage in military conflict with Russia in 2024?
13% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
10% chance