Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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Ṁ100Ṁ10Oct 31
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The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024. A lot of attention is gathered around the São Paulo mayoral elections, as it is the biggest city in the country and can be a thermometer for the general public's political sentiment.
Will the result of the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 presidential elections?
The market resolves to YES if the results of both elections mimic each other, i.e., if a left-wing, right-wing, or centrist candidate is elected in both. Resolves NO otherwise.
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