Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
69
3.5k
2028
76%
chance

Resolves according to my subjective judgement. I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary. I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).

"Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.

Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.

Oct 21, 12:55pm: Will the animal rights movement be perceived to be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)? → Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Why is this so high?

@Conflux the expanding moral circle?

predicts NO

@JacyAnthis Still, naively you’d imagine this as close to 50%

I actually believe the market though, but more because fake meat is getting better lol, which means more people get to remove their cognitive dissonance and go veg

predicts YES

@Conflux But probably the animal rights movement asks for more as they make progress, unclear if they end up getting credit for past success.

I'm guessing animal welfare is a close enough synonym to animal rights here?

predicts NO

@KCS Yeah I think so

Will the animal rights movement be perceived to be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

More related questions