Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040? | Manifold

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

55

1kṀ2006

2041

68%

chance

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Does not resolve positively if Manifold offers additional things you can trade mana for - trades themselves have to involve USD or another currency.

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bought Ṁ50 YES

@CarsonGale do prize point qualify if we get an USD exchange rate?

Yes for full USD exchange

Arbitrage, sort of:

Assuming Manifund doesn't count, why not? Is predicting charitable impact too narrow of a scope for it to count as a prediction market?

Does manifold have any CTFC connections?

CFTC

predictedNO

@xyz Not that I know of.

Would love to be wrong.

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Related questions

Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024 or 2025?

Will Manifold implement another way to handle conditional markets before 2026?

Will Manifold Markets add betting with USD by 2035?

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

Will US real-money prediction markets create significantlty more shenanigans according to Manifold ?

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