Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
55
Ṁ1kṀ2kresolved Apr 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Does not resolve positively if Manifold offers additional things you can trade mana for - trades themselves have to involve USD or another currency.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ138 | |
| 2 | Ṁ102 | |
| 3 | Ṁ102 | |
| 4 | Ṁ63 | |
| 5 | Ṁ59 |
People are also trading
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
85% chance
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
82% chance
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
19% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
78% chance
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
41% chance
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
44% chance
Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?
59% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
85% chance
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
82% chance
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
19% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
78% chance
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
41% chance
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
44% chance
Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?
59% chance