Though I'm not obese, I'm planning on taking semaglutide for at least 3 months, pending any significant side effects. I'm 5'11'' and currently weigh around 200lbs. My sense is that a healthy weight for me is around 170lbs.

I run short distances 2-3x / week, walk/hike probably 10 miles / week, and do light body weights 2-3x / week. My diet is very poor - I eat a lot of carbs and have a major sweet tooth.

After taking semaglutide for 3 months consecutively, I will weigh myself. If I weigh 20lbs less than when I started the semaglutide, this market resolves Yes. If I weigh more, the market resolves No. If I do not take semaglutide for 3 months straight for whatever reason within 1 year from now, I will [try] to resolve this market N/A.

UPDATE (9/27): I started the semaglutide today and my supply should end on 12/27. If I weigh under 170 lbs by then, the market resolves YES, otherwise NO.

Weight Tracking:
Hit 179.1 lbs as of 10/19, 11 lbs down from starting weight of 190 (and 15 lbs down from pre-surgery baseline of 195).

Hit 172.1 lbs as of 11/16, ~18lbs down from starting weight of 190. Only 1.9 lbs to go in the last month to resolve the market YES.

• Update 2024-10-12 (PST): - If I reach below 170 lbs before completing the full 3 months of consecutive semaglutide use, I will either:

  • Resolve as N/A due to not completing 3 consecutive months

  • Resolve as Yes based on achieving the weight target

  • Restart semaglutide in January to complete the remaining weeks to meet the 3-month requirement, resolving Yes if weight stays below 170 lbs (AI summary of creator comment)