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MANIFOLD
Will AI be able to fully generate excel-based, 3-statement financial valuation models on a public stock by end of 2025?
33
į¹€1kį¹€19k
resolved May 19
Resolved as
84%

Per comment clarification, must be reliable enough for businesses to use as a first draft. Could resolve positively via creation of DCFs, LBOs, merger models, or liquidation value analysis.

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Why resolve to %?

I’m almost certain we could get one to do it right now

predictedYES

@CarsonGale have you had a chance to use the Code Interpreter?

@firstuserhere i have not - I also don't work in tech and don't know how to code.

predictedYES

@CarsonGale I see. Code interpreter is slowly being rolled out. It's good at code, but the point is that it's capable of outputting an excel sheet after doing some manipulations to the data as specified.

@CarsonGale as someone who spent almost a decade building financial statements at top banks in NY, can code, and is building an MS Office replacement, I assure you this can be done today.

Do they have to be reliable enough for businesses to actually use or just demos?

@StephenMalina reliable enough for businesses to use as a first draft.

@CarsonGale i.e., if financial data is consistently wrong in the model (e.g., worse than if an intern did it) I don't think that would count.