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MANIFOLD
Will companies pay for AI “world simulations” in 2027?
1
Ṁ1kṀ25
2027
61%
chance

Resolves YES iff credible evidence shows that combined revenue across companies from providing AI "world simulations" reached at least $100M in 2027.

For purposes of this market a service is considered an AI "world simulation" if it is it's main purpose and is marketed as such, eg. "Do you wanna know how many sales will you get if you launch this product? Simulate the world forward with GPT-SIMULATE now!"

In case of dispute, it will be resolved by asking Claude Opus 5.5: "How should this market resolve: [link]?".

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