Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
20
1kṀ2465
2031
20%
chance

The "major companies" refers specifically to Alcor, Cryonics Institute, and Tomorrow Bio.

Some combination would mean if that, say, Alcor accidentally thawed one and Tomorrow Bio accidentally thawed one, that would satisfy the "at least two" criterion.

Resolves a year and a day after 2030.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules