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From the comments, it sounds like Russia just has to claim they have a vaccine for any cancer and "launch" it, but there's no condition on their vaccine 1) working, or 2) being novel?
Is the question just "will Russia launch a vaccine that it claims will reduce the risk of (some) cancer(s)"? If Russia launches a vaccine with that claim, but western media reports that it is a known vaccine (e.g. HPV) or even just a placebo, will this still resolve to YES?
@CreativeCulture But will the other cases, when it's presumably not actually a vaccine for cancer despite the claims, resolve to YES?
@CreativeCulture but how will we know they're telling the truth? not a regime renowned for its honesty
@CreativeCulture the countries that still trade with russia as it commits a literal genocide have their own problems with lack of transparency, morality, and authoritarianism so I wouldn't trust their claims either. russia has deep pockets.
@CreativeCulture I personally don't know enough about the Indian healthcare system to contest this claim tbh but on the surface sounds problematic re: fake cancer treatments there too
@CreativeCulture It's not clear to me what the resolution conditions are, so I don't think I'll be trading on this.
Lol like there's a Russian vaccine for cancer. Putin can say whatever he wants, doesn't make it true (often the opposite).
As I wrote in another comment: in a country where authorities lie, everyone plagiarizes their dissertation, and nobody can check the efficacy of any vaccine, I'm guessing the chance of there actually being a cancer vaccine is about 0.00000000001%
@CreativeCulture So it's just any vaccine for any type of cancer, and it doesn't even have to work? You should make that clear in the description of the question, instead of just the comments.
@CreativeCulture How will we know if they launch "the vaccine", though? Which vaccine? Which cancer?
Putin did not specify which types of cancer the proposed vaccines would target, nor how
OK. Not gonna bet on that, then.