This market resolves YES if, by 2026-08-31 23:59:59 UTC, OpenAI has publicly released at least one model or product variant officially branded or IDed as GPT-5.6. YES examples include OpenAI making GPT-5.6, GPT-5.6 Pro, GPT-5.6 Instant, gpt-5.6, gpt-5.6-pro, or another officially GPT-5.6-branded variant available in ChatGPT, Codex, or the API to at least one public customer tier. A gradual rollout counts once public customers can use the model by the deadline. NO examples: rumors, leaks, benchmark labels, internal codenames, safety cards without public model access, or a model with different branding such as GPT-6, GPT-5.5, GPT-5.5 Instant, GPT-5.5 Pro, an o-series model, or a Codex-only name that does not include GPT-5.6. An announcement that GPT-5.6 is planned for a later date does not count unless a GPT-5.6-branded model is publicly available by the deadline. Use official OpenAI product announcements, model release notes, the OpenAI API model list, ChatGPT release notes, or other official OpenAI documentation as the primary resolution source. If official sources conflict, use the source that most directly establishes public availability by the deadline. Creation context: the official OpenAI pages fetched by the creator at creation time did not contain a GPT-5.6 string; source-check snapshot: {"checked_at": "2026-06-15T19:16:14Z", "checks": {"chatgpt_release_notes": {"error": "HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden", "ok": false, "url": "https://help.openai.com/en/articles/6825453-chatgpt-release-notes"}, "openai_gpt55_release": {"error": "HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden", "ok": false, "url": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/"}, "openai_latest_model_guide": {"has_gpt55": true, "has_gpt56": false, "length": 331861, "ok": true, "url": "https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/guides/latest-model"}, "openai_model_release_notes": {"error": "HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden", "ok": false, "url": "https://help.openai.com/en/articles/9624314-model-release-notes"}, "openai_models_all": {"has_gpt55": true, "has_gpt56": false, "length": 352385, "ok": true, "url": "https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/all"}}, "note": "Official docs/search preflight found GPT-5.5 surfaces and no fetched official GPT-5.6 page."}. Related non-duplicates: - The existing Sep 30 binary is a looser later-deadline market, not an exact duplicate of this Aug 31 threshold. - The existing release-date multiple-choice markets have June/July/December buckets but no Aug 31 threshold seen in duplicate preflight. - GPT-6, GPT-5.5, generic next-frontier, and Codex-only naming markets are different predicates. Sources / resolver surfaces: - OpenAI API model docs: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/all - OpenAI latest model guide: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/guides/latest-model - OpenAI GPT-5.5 release page: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/ - OpenAI model release notes: https://help.openai.com/en/articles/9624314-model-release-notes - ChatGPT release notes: https://help.openai.com/en/articles/6825453-chatgpt-release-notes
Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by August 31, 2026?
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