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MANIFOLD
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ723
2029
August 27, 2027
85%
Before 2027
98%
Before 2028
98%
Before 2029
4%
2029+ (inclusive)

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the time period when OpenAI releases a model referred to as "GPT-6" (or minor naming variations like "GPT-6-mini") that is publicly accessible outside OpenAI. A closed beta does not count; the model must be accessible to some members of the public, including through API access.

Market context
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