This market resolves YES if, by 2026-09-30 23:59:59 UTC, OpenAI has publicly released at least one model or product variant officially branded or IDed as GPT-5.6. YES examples include OpenAI making GPT-5.6, GPT-5.6 Pro, GPT-5.6 Instant, gpt-5.6, gpt-5.6-pro, or another officially GPT-5.6-branded variant available in ChatGPT, Codex, or the API to at least one public customer tier. A gradual rollout counts once public customers can use the model. NO examples: rumors, leaks, benchmark labels, internal codenames, safety cards without public model access, or a model with different branding such as GPT-6, GPT-5.5, GPT-5.5 Instant, GPT-5.5 Pro, an o-series model, or a Codex-only name that does not include GPT-5.6. An announcement that GPT-5.6 is planned for a later date does not count unless a GPT-5.6-branded model is publicly available by the deadline. Use official OpenAI product announcements, model release notes, the OpenAI API model list, or other official OpenAI documentation as the primary resolution source. If official sources conflict, use the source that most directly establishes public availability by the deadline. Creation context: {"current_official_context": "OpenAI's official model docs currently list GPT-5.5 / gpt-5.5 as the current frontier model surface; the docs page checked at creation did not contain a GPT-5.6 string.", "deadline": "2026-09-30 23:59:59 UTC", "no_examples": ["A rumor, leak, benchmark label, or third-party report without official OpenAI release/access.", "An OpenAI model with a different branding such as GPT-6, GPT-5.5, GPT-5.5 Instant, GPT-5.5 Pro, o-series, Codex-only versions without GPT-5.6 branding, or an internal codename.", "An announcement of future plans for GPT-5.6 that does not make any GPT-5.6-branded model available by the deadline."], "related_non_duplicates": ["Markets about GPT-6 are not exact duplicates because this market requires GPT-5.6 branding or model ID.", "Markets about a generic next frontier model are not exact duplicates because this market is specific to GPT-5.6.", "Markets with deadlines before July or August 2026 are not exact duplicates of this September 30 deadline.", "Markets about GPT-5.5 availability are already resolved/stale context, not this successor predicate."], "resolver_surface": "Official OpenAI product announcements, model docs, model release notes, or API model list", "yes_examples": ["OpenAI publicly releases GPT-5.6 in ChatGPT, Codex, or the API.", "OpenAI publicly releases GPT-5.6 Pro, GPT-5.6 Instant, gpt-5.6, gpt-5.6-pro, or another officially branded GPT-5.6 variant.", "Release to a public customer tier counts even if access is rolling out gradually by plan or region."]}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - OpenAI API model docs: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models - OpenAI latest model guide: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/guides/latest-model - OpenAI GPT-5.5 release page: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/ - OpenAI model release notes: https://help.openai.com/en/articles/9624314-model-release-notes
Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by September 30, 2026?
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