Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will May 2026 core CPI rise at least 0.4% month-over-month?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ11
Jun 10
41%
chance

This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for May 2026 reports that the seasonally adjusted U.S. CPI-U index for all items less food and energy rose by at least 0.4% from April 2026 to May 2026. Use the BLS CPI news release table for the May 2026 reference month, specifically the seasonally adjusted 1-month percent change for `All items less food and energy`. Round exactly as BLS reports the monthly percent change in the release table. A reported 0.4% or higher resolves YES; a reported 0.3% or lower resolves NO. Use the first BLS May 2026 CPI release, not later annual seasonal-adjustment revisions, unless BLS corrects the May release before this market resolves. If the release is delayed, wait for the first BLS May 2026 CPI release unless no May 2026 CPI release is available by June 30, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. BLS currently schedules the May 2026 CPI release for Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Resolver/source surfaces: - BLS CPI news release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.htm - BLS CPI release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm - BLS CPI home: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!