This market resolves YES if the initial BEA Personal Income and Outlays release for May 2026 reports that headline real personal consumption expenditures increased by 0.3% or more month-over-month. Use the headline real PCE monthly percent change in the initial May 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release. Resolve NO if the initial headline real PCE value is +0.2% or lower, zero, or negative. Do not use current-dollar PCE spending, headline or core PCE price indexes, personal income, disposable personal income, real DPI, personal outlays, saving rate, goods-only/services-only subcomponents, annualized dollar changes, or later revisions unless BEA corrects the initial May 2026 release before resolution. If the May 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release is delayed, wait for the first BEA release containing the May 2026 headline real PCE month-over-month percent change unless there is no such release by July 1, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"april_2026_current_dollar_pce_billions_increase": 111.1, "april_2026_current_dollar_pce_percent": 0.5, "april_2026_disposable_personal_income_percent": -0.1, "april_2026_personal_income_percent": 0.0, "april_2026_personal_saving_rate_percent": 2.6, "release": "Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026", "release_date": "2026-05-28"}, "metric": "Real personal consumption expenditures, headline monthly percent change", "related_non_duplicates": ["Current-dollar PCE spending markets are not duplicates.", "Headline/core PCE price-index inflation, personal income, DPI, real DPI, personal outlays, saving-rate, goods-only/services-only, and later-revision variants are not duplicates."], "release_schedule": "BEA's April 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release lists the next release, Personal Income and Outlays, May 2026, for June 25, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BEA Personal Income and Outlays release for May 2026", "threshold": "Increase of 0.3% or more from the prior month"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BEA release schedule: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule - BEA personal income data page: https://www.bea.gov/data/income-saving/personal-income - BEA Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026 release: https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-april-2026