This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for June 2026 reports that U.S. import prices rose 0.5% or more month-over-month. Use the all-imports / all-commodities import price index one-month percent change from May 2026 to June 2026 in the initial BLS June 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release. Resolve YES if that monthly change is +0.5% or higher. Resolve NO if it is +0.4% or lower. Do not use export prices, fuel-only import prices, nonfuel-only import prices, capital-goods or consumer-goods subindexes, harmonized-category import indexes, year-over-year changes, CPI, PPI, PCE, trade-deficit data, exchange rates, commodity spot prices, forecasts, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial June 2026 release before resolution. If the June 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the June 2026 import-price figure unless there is no such release by July 24, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"all_exports_april_2026_mom": 3.3, "all_imports_april_2026_mom": 1.9, "note": "The May 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release was scheduled for 2026-06-16 and was not yet released at creation time.", "release": "U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes, April 2026"}, "metric": "One-month percent change in the all-import price index from May 2026 to June 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May 2026 import-price markets are prior-reference-month markets, not June 2026 duplicates.", "Export-price markets are not duplicates of import-price markets.", "Fuel-only, nonfuel-only, capital-goods, consumer-goods, harmonized-category, year-over-year, and forecast-consensus markets are not duplicates.", "CPI, PPI, PCE, trade-deficit, exchange-rate, and commodity-price markets use different releases or criteria."], "release_schedule": "BLS's 2026 selected release schedule lists U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for June 2026 on Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:30 Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for June 2026", "series_family": "U.S. import price indexes, all imports / all commodities", "threshold": "+0.5% month-over-month or higher"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS 2026 selected release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm - BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ximpim.htm - BLS current Import and Export Price Indexes release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ximpim.htm - BLS import price table 1: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ximpim.t01.htm - BLS Import/Export Price Indexes home: https://www.bls.gov/mxp/