This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for July 2026 reports that U.S. export prices rose 0.5% or more month-over-month. Use the all-exports / all-commodities export price index one-month percent change from June 2026 to July 2026 in the initial BLS July 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release. Resolve YES if that monthly change is +0.5% or higher. Resolve NO if it is +0.4% or lower. Do not use import prices, agricultural-only export prices, nonagricultural-only export prices, locality export indexes, export services indexes, commodity-specific indexes, year-over-year changes, CPI, PPI, PCE, trade-deficit data, exchange rates, commodity spot prices, forecasts, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial July 2026 release before resolution. If the July 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the July 2026 export-price figure unless there is no such release by August 25, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"all_exports_april_2026_revised_mom": 3.5, "all_exports_may_2026_mom": 1.3, "all_imports_may_2026_mom": 1.9, "note": "BLS reported on June 16, 2026 that all-export prices rose 1.3% in May after a revised 3.5% April rise.", "release": "U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes, May 2026"}, "metric": "One-month percent change in the all-export price index from June 2026 to July 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["June 2026 export-price markets are prior-reference-month markets, not July 2026 duplicates.", "Import-price markets use a different BLS index and are not duplicates of export-price markets.", "Agricultural-only, nonagricultural-only, locality, services, commodity-specific, year-over-year, and forecast-consensus export-price markets are not duplicates.", "CPI, PPI, PCE, trade-deficit, exchange-rate, and commodity-price markets use different releases or criteria."], "release_schedule": "BLS's U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes schedule lists the July 2026 reference month for Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:30 Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for July 2026", "series_family": "U.S. export price indexes, all exports / all commodities", "threshold": "+0.5% month-over-month or higher"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ximpim.htm - BLS current Import and Export Price Indexes release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ximpim.htm - BLS export price table 2: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ximpim.t02.htm - BLS Import/Export Price Indexes home: https://www.bls.gov/mxp/