This market resolves YES if the initial BEA Personal Income and Outlays release for June 2026 reports that headline current-dollar U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased by 0.5% or more month-over-month. Use the headline PCE monthly percent change in the initial June 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release. Resolve NO if the initial headline value is +0.4% or lower, zero, or negative. Do not use PCE price-index inflation, core PCE inflation, real PCE, personal income, disposable personal income, personal outlays, saving rate, services-only, goods-only, annualized dollar changes, or later revisions unless BEA corrects the initial June 2026 release before resolution. If the June 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release is delayed, wait for the first BEA release containing the June 2026 headline PCE month-over-month percent change unless there is no such release by August 6, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"april_2026_disposable_personal_income_percent": -0.1, "april_2026_pce_billions_increase": 111.1, "april_2026_pce_percent": 0.5, "april_2026_personal_income_percent": 0.0, "april_2026_personal_outlays_billions_increase": 114.0, "april_2026_personal_saving_rate_percent": 2.6, "next_release_at_creation": "Personal Income and Outlays, May 2026 scheduled for 2026-06-25 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "release": "Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026", "release_date": "2026-05-28"}, "metric": "Current-dollar personal consumption expenditures (PCE), headline monthly percent change", "related_non_duplicates": ["Headline and core PCE inflation markets are not duplicates.", "Personal-income, disposable-income, personal-outlays, saving-rate, real-PCE, services-only, goods-only, and price-index variants are not duplicates."], "release_schedule": "BEA's release schedule lists Personal Income and Outlays, June 2026 for July 30, 2026 at 8:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BEA Personal Income and Outlays release for June 2026", "threshold": "Increase of 0.5% or more from the prior month"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BEA release schedule: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule - BEA consumer spending data page: https://www.bea.gov/data/consumer-spending/main - BEA Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026 release: https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-april-2026