What will be the level of philanthropic funding for nuclear issues in 2025?
2
Ṁ120Ṁ24Jan 1
5.5m
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Nuclear philanthropy is experiencing a disruption, with the recent announcement that the MacArthur Foundation, one of the largest funders, is exiting the field (https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/19/washington-arms-controllers-nuclear-weapons-500126). This question is designed to estimate the approximate annual funding level three years from now.
Recent levels of funding:
2021: $27.2 million
2020: $33.5 million
2019: $49.8 million
2018: $83.7 million
2017: $72.9 million
2016: $45.9 million
I will resolve this question based on data from the Peace and Security Funding Map (https://learningforfunders.candid.org/content/foundation-center-features/peace-and-security-funding-index1/).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the worlds installed power generation from nuclear sources in 2025 be more than 3000 TWh ?
13% chance
Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?
50% chance
By 2034, will at least 1 major tech company lobby for nuclear power?
94% chance
Will nuclear power account for 30% or more of global electricity generation by 2035?
10% chance
Will there be subcritical accelerator-driven fission plants by 2050?
33% chance
Will the Patient Philanthropy Fund grow to $10m+ before 2030?
64% chance
Will there be a significant decrease in nuclear weapons globally by 2040?
13% chance
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance
Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?
44% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?