Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only main videos will be considered. Shorts do not count.

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (24 traders, as of Jun 15, 2026).

Will Mr Beast have a video with 1 billion views by the end of 2026?

Will Mr Beast have a video with 1 billion views by the end of 2026?

Ṁ100Ṁ666

Dec 31

22%

chance

ALL

Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only main videos will be considered. Shorts do not count.

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bought Ṁ5 NO

I'm confused

@strutheo are these two markets identical? Are you ok with resolving both at the end?